China suspended imports from four major Australian beef suppliers Tuesday, only weeks after Beijing’s ambassador warned of a consumer boycott in retaliation for Canberra’s push to probe the origins of the coronavirus.
Analysts said the move raised concerns of a possible stand-off between Australia and its most important trading partner that could spill over into other crucial sectors as it struggles to navigate the disease-induced economic crisis.
Federal Trade Minister Simon Birmingham said shipments of meat from the abattoirs had been suspended over “minor technical” breaches related to Chinese health and labeling certificate requirements.
“We are concerned that the suspensions appear to be based on highly technical issues, which in some cases date back more than a year,” he added.
“We will work with industry and authorities in both Australia and China to seek to find a solution that allows these businesses to resume their normal operations as soon as possible.”
The four meatworks account for about 35% of Australia’s beef exports to China in a trade worth about A$1.7 billion (US$1.1 billion), according to national broadcaster ABC.
China has also flagged major tariffs on Australian barley over allegations it is selling the grain in China for less than it costs to produce it – known as dumping. The Australian Financial Review cited confidential documents as saying Beijing is considering duties of 73.6%.
Tensions between the two have increased since Australia started calling for an independent investigation into the origin of the coronavirus outbreak, which started in China before spreading around the world, killing more than 280,000, infecting millions and shattering the global economy.
Fears for other sectors
But the calls have drawn threats from Beijing, with ambassador Cheng Jingye calling them “dangerous.”
In an interview with the Australian Financial Review last month, he said: “The Chinese public is frustrated, dismayed and disappointed with what Australia is doing now.
“If the mood is going from bad to worse, people would think ‘why should we go to such a country that is not so friendly to China?’ The tourists may have second thoughts.
He added: “It is up to the people to decide. Maybe the ordinary people will say ‘Why should we drink Australian wine? Eat Australian beef?’”
Cheng also threatened the flow of Chinese students to Australian universities, a key source of revenue that is already under threat from pandemic travel restrictions.
But speaking in Canberra, Birmingham said the government was treating the trade issues as unrelated to discussions around a virus probe.
“It’s in no way related, in no way related, to the export arrangements for Australian beef or for Australian barley or for anything else,” he said.
“We certainly don’t see any relationship, and we would expect that no other counterpart country should see a relationship between those factors either.”
The countries were already at loggerheads after Australia hit China with huge anti-dumping levies on several products including aluminum and steel.
Beijing has also been riled by a decision to ban controversial telecoms giant Huawei from building Australia’s 5G network.
And there are fears of a further escalation of the stand-off and its impact on their two-way trade, which is about A$235 billion.
“The risk is, of course, that this broadens out to more critical areas such as iron ore, coal, education, LNG, etcetera,” said AxiCorp’s Stephen Innes.
He added: “But if it stays at beef and barley, then economically, it shouldn’t matter much for Australia.”